Join us at the Climate Change Conference in Bonn on Friday 20th May for an official side event hosted by the Energy Research Centre and WWF International
From investors to activists and world leaders, there is growing interest in whether and how climate policy should seek to limit the supply of fossil fuels in addition to reducing demand. Research suggests a large share of fossil fuel reserves will need to stay in the ground to keep warming below 2°C – but achieving […]
Certain mitigation actions will act as an economic shock to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth path. This policy brief examines the economy-wide implications of applying a carbon tax to the country’s electricity generation section. The report evaluates carbon taxes of US$10, US$20, US$30, US$40 and US$50 per ton of carbon dioxide equivalents (US$/tCO2 […]
This policy brief explores the possible social and economic implications of three different emissions reduction measures: placing a tax on carbon emission, capping the allowable amount of emissions from different sectors, changing the country’s energy mix (either to include more renewables, or replacing fossil fuels with cleaner electricity). It also considers how these measures might […]
This policy brief considers the findings of a modelling process carried out by the Instituto de Investigación de la Amazonía Peruana (IIAP) team, which compares the economic value of timber felling practices in agroforestry plots in Peru, with the potential financial benefits of using global carbon trading mechanisms to compensate the country for projects which […]
This policy brief presents the linked modelling framework that was used to investigate the possible social and economic implications of a carbon tax, as well mitigation strategy which favours increasing the contribution of renewable energy to the country’s energy mix and summaries some the results.
This paper examines agroforestry systems as certified emissions reductions for the Peruvian Amazon region. It describes the findings of a modeling-based research, which compares the economic value of timber felling practices in agroforestry plots in Peru, with the potential financial benefits of using global carbon trading mechanisms
The aim of this study was to build capacity in the development of tools for the analysis of the macroeconomic impacts of introducing measures to mitigate emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon tax and cap and trade scheme. The study is based on the integration of bottom-up with top-down models. The associated brief shows […]
This paper aims to analyse the economy-wide implications of a carbon tax applied on the Chilean electricity generation sector as it will act as an economic shock to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth path. In order to get an answer to this, both energy sectoral model and dynamic stochastic generally equilibrium (DSGE) model […]
Some developing countries are implementing measures to deviate its emissions patterns. This paper uses a methodological approach to assess the socio-economic implications of some of these potential measures, to evaluate the Colombian case. The main finding is that a carbon tax does not affect significantly the macroeconomic indicators and yet reached important abatements, especially if […]
This research paper investigates the socio-economic implications of mitigation in the power sector including carbon taxes in South Africa. The structure of this paper is as follows. The first section provides a discussion of recent developments within South Africa aimed at increasing the contribution of renewable energy. The second section gives a brief description of […]
This paper reports on modelling approaches that provide information to answer policy-relevant questions in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Peru and South Africa. The analysis informs different country contexts; energy-related green house gas (GHG) emissions currently dominate in Chile and South Africa, while those due to agriculture, forestry and land-use (AFOLU) are historically more important in Brazil, […]
The 5th Scenario Building Team meeting was held during the first week of August over a day and a half and covered assumptions for modelling the 2013 – 2050 baseline and mitigation measures that will be considered in the various scenarios. The meeting was attended by 30 consultants, more the 40 Scenario Building Team members […]
This paper is part of a series that aims to support stakeholders and research groups in the selection of long-range energy systems modelling platforms, to inform decision making for public policy options compatible with national development goals. This paper builds on the MAPS Chile experience.
On the 12th of June, the MAPS Programme invited in-country researchers – representing the MAPS processes of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and South Africa – to present preliminary results of their work linking economic and sectoral models at the UNFCCC Climate Change Conference in Bonn, Germany. Chile presented its assessment of five different carbon tax scenarios. Brazil talked about its […]
It is known that there is considerable potential for emissions reduction through the implementation of energy efficiency policies. This paper seeks to address the still limited understanding of the impacts of these policies on economic growth, employment and welfare by assessing the socio-economic implications of increased energy efficiency in South Africa.
MAPS held a workshop on agriculture, forestry and land-use (AFOLU) from 24-27 March 2014. The AFOLU Lab was a follow-up of the workshops on agriculture (AgriLab, 2012) and land-use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF Lab, 2012), which focused on modelling approaches used in these sectors. The objective of the workshop was to share experiences between MAPS […]
(26-27 March 2014) The Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use (AFOLU) workshop was held in Santiago, Chile. Participants from four MAPS countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Peru) and from Argentina attended the workshop. The AFOLU Lab was a follow-up of the AgriLab (2012) and LULUCF Lab (2012) and instead of discussing modelling approaches to the sector, the country […]
The Co-benefits lab brought together 27 experts from 10 countries in Bogota, Colombia from the 6-9th of May 2013 to exchange, discuss and develop new ideas around the socio-economic co-benefits of mitigation actions (co-benefits) in the MAPS context. Representatives from all four MAPS countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Peru) were present. Keynote speakers from India, Brazil […]
MAPS’s COP 19 side event in Warsaw discussed the work of the MAPS network of researchers (from Brazil, Chile, France and South Africa) to design more accurate models for understanding the socio-economic costs of mitigation actions. Panelists included Professor Jean Charles Hourcade, Dr William Wills, Bruno Merven, and Rodrigo Fuentes.
From the modellers’ mouths: Feedback from Econ Lab 2 on establishing best practice in linking sectoral and economy-wide models and feeding modelling outputs into MAPS country processes.
Rio, or rather the tourist precincts of Ipanema and Copacabana, is a place that seems to be much as you left it. People kicking back, beach bars and lots of vital looking citizens of all ages exercising with purpose. Brazilians in general do things with purpose. Of course one is dimly aware that Rio is […]
This brief explains how modellers and users of multi-sector energy models can ensure consistent application of system rules, conservation of quantities, and adherence to logic in their work.
Modelling is vital for developing low carbon development plans and strategies that are consistent with national circumstances. Models identify the mitigation policy instruments and measures needed ‘to ensure global benefits at the lowest possible costs. Numerous models and modelling approaches available to answer different policy questions; each with their own set of advantages and limitations. Often, a […]
Setting achievable GHG mitigation targets requires the systematic analysis of potential mitigation actions to quantify the implication of each action, in terms of its benefits and costs. This is done with the help of models. There are a multitude of modelling platforms and approaches available, each with its strengths and weaknesses, and they can be […]
This paper explains different approaches to using Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) curves as a mitigation decision tool. It also demonstrates appropriate interpretation of MAC curves through illustrated examples
This policy brief aims to communicate the methods used by researchers to model possible outcomes of different actions to curb GHG emissions in the agricultural sector.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM transport sector methodology.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM residential sector methodology.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM agricultural sector methodology.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM liquid fuels and gas supply sector methodology.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM methodology for the commercial sector.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM industrial sector methodology.
The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed to look at the opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) in South Africa. This technical brief presents a overview of the SATIM electricity supply sector methodology.
Computer modelling programs are a useful tool to draw up scenarios which illustrate the possible outcomes of different emissions reduction actions, and give a platform to compare those outcomes.
In order to provide rigorous information on the economy-wide socio-economic implications of mitigation action, MAPS teams linked bottom-up sector-based and economic models. This brief highlights some of the technical issues arising in linking models for use in policy analysis. It also shares some of the approaches that have been explored by the research teams.
Computer modelling programs are a useful tool to draw up scenarios which illustrate the possible outcomes of different emissions reduction actions. The objectives of the Econ Lab were for researchers and modellers to consider the wide range of models available for this purpose; combining different models for more complex projections; and overcoming difficulties arising from […]
This technical brief provides an overview of the drivers used to project sectoral demand in the South African Long Term Mitigation Scenarios (LTMS) and provide guidance to modellers embarking on similar processes.
This technical brief discusses alternative ways of including regional trade in bottom-up energy economic models such as MARKAL or MESSAGE and explores general opportunities for including regional trade in modelling exercises.
This technical brief provides an overview of the relationship between energy and water in South Africa and how these have been included in the Long Term Mitigation Scenarios (LTMS) and other modelling exercises.
(May 2012) The objective of the Econ Lab was to discuss the means, tools and approaches with which to assess socio-economic implications of climate mitigation scenarios. The discussion informed methodologies to assess socio-economic variables within the respective MAPS country processes and consequences (pros, cons and limitations) and contributed to country-specific research agendas to develop a […]
The Land Use, Land Use Changes and Forest (LULUCF) sector contributes significantly to many MAPS countries’ emissions. The LulucF Lab is a learning workshop focused on the mitigation and socio-economic impacts in the LULUCF sectors, with a special focus on forestry, sustainable energy use and the socio-economic implications of mitigation in this sector. The possible […]
There are a number of complex models that researchers can use to assess the socio-economic implications of mitigation actions and it is important that they choose the one that’s best suited to the specific task at hand. As noted by Prof. Rob Davies, an economist and research associate with the Human Sciences Research Council in […]
A brief on the options and challenges of analysing mitigation actions in the agricultural sector within MAPS country processes.
MAPS brought together a small group of land-use specialists, from the MAPS country teams and external experts, to understand the role of mitigation action in the agriculture sector, including options and challenges, implications and suitability of the tools within a country strategy in the context of the MAPS country processes.
MAPS brought together a small group of land-use specialists, from the MAPS country teams and external experts, to understand the role of mitigation actions in the agriculture sector, including options and challenges, implications and suitability of the tools within a country strategy in the context of the MAPS country processes.
The agriculture sector in Colombia contributes significantly in national GHG emissions. MAPS brought together a small group of land-use specialists, from the MAPS country teams and external experts, to understand the role of mitigation action in the agriculture sector, including options and challenges, implications and suitability of the tools within a country strategy in the […]
MAPS brought together a small group of land-use specialists, from the MAPS country teams and external experts, to understand the role of mitigation action in the agriculture sector, including options and challenges, implications and suitability of the tools within a country strategy in the context of the MAPS country processes.
MAPS brought together a small group of land-use specialists, from the MAPS country teams and external experts, to understand the role of mitigation action in the agriculture sector, including options and challenges, implications and suitability of the tools within a country strategy in the context of the MAPS country processes.
MAPS brought together a small group of land-use specialists, from the MAPS country teams and external experts, to understand the role of mitigation action in the agriculture sector, including options and challenges, implications and suitability of the tools within a country strategy in the context of the MAPS country processes.
